China Open: Learner Tien vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads at 82%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | China Open: Learner Tien vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 82% | +21% | $5 |
| 2 | China Open: Learner Tien vs Hubert Hurkacz Match O/U 21.5 | 62% | +60% | - |
| 3 | Completed Match | 62% | +61% | - |
| 4 | China Open: Learner Tien vs Hubert Hurkacz | 60% | +65% | $26K |
| 5 | China Open: Learner Tien vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 Winner | 58% | +71% | - |
| 6 | China Open: Learner Tien vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 58% | +71% | - |
| 7 | China Open: Learner Tien vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 Winner | 57% | +75% | - |
| 8 | China Open: Learner Tien vs Hubert Hurkacz Match O/U 22.5 | 55% | +82% | $56 |
| 9 | China Open: Learner Tien vs Hubert Hurkacz Game Spread +/-1.5 | 55% | +82% | - |
| 10 | China Open: Learner Tien vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 11 | China Open: Learner Tien vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | China Open: Learner Tien vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | China Open: Learner Tien vs Hubert Hurkacz Match O/U 23.5 | 48% | +111% | $4 |
| 14 | China Open: Learner Tien vs Hubert Hurkacz Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 42% | +141% | $3 |
| 15 | China Open: Learner Tien vs Hubert Hurkacz Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 38% | +160% | $2K |
| 16 | China Open: Learner Tien vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 32% | +208% | - |
| 17 | China Open: Learner Tien vs Hubert Hurkacz Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 22% | +365% | $20 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Learner Tien and Hubert Hurkacz in the China Open, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Learner Tien'...
This prediction market tracks whether China Open: Learner Tien vs Hubert Hurkacz will occur, with $29K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward China Open: Learner Tien vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 82%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $16K traded in the last 24 hours alone (57% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-07. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 30, 2026 at 21:55 UTC, the leading outcome is China Open: Learner Tien vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 82% probability, with $29K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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