Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads at 80%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 80% | +25% | - |
| 2 | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Match O/U 21.5 | 60% | +68% | $50 |
| 3 | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino | 57% | +74% | $16K |
| 4 | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 57% | +75% | - |
| 5 | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Set 1 Winner | 55% | +82% | - |
| 6 | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Match O/U 22.5 | 51% | +96% | $8 |
| 7 | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Set 2 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Completed Match | 49% | +104% | - |
| 9 | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 48% | +108% | - |
| 10 | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 48% | +108% | - |
| 11 | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 48% | +108% | - |
| 12 | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Match O/U 23.5 | 44% | +127% | $133 |
| 13 | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Game Spread +/-0.5 | 43% | +133% | - |
| 14 | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 38% | +163% | - |
| 15 | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 36% | +178% | $151 |
| 16 | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 34% | +190% | - |
| 17 | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 28% | +257% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Agustin Tirante and Adrian Mannarino in the Erste Bank Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market...
This prediction market tracks whether Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino will occur, with $17K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 80%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $17K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 24, 2026 at 09:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 80% probability, with $17K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms