The market strongly favors Shanghai: Bernard Tomic vs Ilya Ivashka Set 2 Winner at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shanghai: Bernard Tomic vs Ilya Ivashka Set 2 Winner | 100% | - | - |
| 2 | Shanghai: Bernard Tomic vs Ilya Ivashka Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | - | $26 |
| 3 | Shanghai: Bernard Tomic vs Ilya Ivashka Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 4 | Shanghai: Bernard Tomic vs Ilya Ivashka Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 5 | Shanghai: Bernard Tomic vs Ilya Ivashka Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 6 | Shanghai: Bernard Tomic vs Ilya Ivashka Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 7 | Shanghai: Bernard Tomic vs Ilya Ivashka Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 8 | Shanghai: Bernard Tomic vs Ilya Ivashka Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 9 | Shanghai: Bernard Tomic vs Ilya Ivashka Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 10 | Completed Match | 50% | +98% | - |
| 11 | Shanghai: Bernard Tomic vs Ilya Ivashka Game Spread +/-1.5 | 50% | +100% | $2K |
| 12 | Shanghai: Bernard Tomic vs Ilya Ivashka BEST VALUE | 34% | +194% | $296K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Bernard Tomic and Ilya Ivashka in the Shanghai, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Bernard Tomic' if...
This prediction market tracks whether Shanghai: Bernard Tomic vs Ilya Ivashka will occur, with $299K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Shanghai: Bernard Tomic vs Ilya Ivashka Set 2 Winner is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $299K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-17. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 10, 2026 at 09:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Shanghai: Bernard Tomic vs Ilya Ivashka Set 2 Winner at 100% probability, with $299K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $299K, with $299K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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