The market strongly favors Lincoln: Bernard Tomic vs Spencer Johnson at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln: Bernard Tomic vs Spencer Johnson | 100% | - | $324K |
| 2 | Completed Match | 100% | - | - |
| 3 | Lincoln: Bernard Tomic vs Spencer Johnson Set 2 Winner | 100% | - | - |
| 4 | Lincoln: Bernard Tomic vs Spencer Johnson Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | $193 |
| 5 | Lincoln: Bernard Tomic vs Spencer Johnson Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 6 | Lincoln: Bernard Tomic vs Spencer Johnson Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | - | $11 |
| 7 | Lincoln: Bernard Tomic vs Spencer Johnson Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | - | $45 |
| 8 | Lincoln: Bernard Tomic vs Spencer Johnson Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 9 | Lincoln: Bernard Tomic vs Spencer Johnson Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | - | $25 |
| 10 | Lincoln: Bernard Tomic vs Spencer Johnson Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | - | $83 |
| 11 | Lincoln: Bernard Tomic vs Spencer Johnson Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | - | $25 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Bernard Tomic and Spencer Johnson in the Lincoln, originally scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 7:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Bernard Tomic' if Be...
This prediction market tracks whether Lincoln: Bernard Tomic vs Spencer Johnson will occur, with $329K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Lincoln: Bernard Tomic vs Spencer Johnson is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $328K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-25. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 19, 2026 at 06:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Lincoln: Bernard Tomic vs Spencer Johnson at 100% probability, with $329K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $329K, with $328K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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