The market strongly favors Lisbon: Marco Trungelliti vs Carlo Alberto Caniato Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lisbon: Marco Trungelliti vs Carlo Alberto Caniato Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 2 | Lisbon: Marco Trungelliti vs Carlo Alberto Caniato Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 3 | Lisbon: Marco Trungelliti vs Carlo Alberto Caniato Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | - | $17 |
| 4 | Lisbon: Marco Trungelliti vs Carlo Alberto Caniato Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 5 | Lisbon: Marco Trungelliti vs Carlo Alberto Caniato Set 2 Winner | 100% | +0% | - |
| 6 | Lisbon: Marco Trungelliti vs Carlo Alberto Caniato Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | +0% | - |
| 7 | Lisbon: Marco Trungelliti vs Carlo Alberto Caniato Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +0% | - |
| 8 | Lisbon: Marco Trungelliti vs Carlo Alberto Caniato Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +0% | - |
| 9 | Lisbon: Marco Trungelliti vs Carlo Alberto Caniato Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +0% | - |
| 10 | Lisbon: Marco Trungelliti vs Carlo Alberto Caniato Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | +0% | $104 |
| 11 | Completed Match | 52% | +92% | - |
| 12 | Lisbon: Marco Trungelliti vs Carlo Alberto Caniato | 50% | +98% | $151K |
| 13 | Lisbon: Marco Trungelliti vs Carlo Alberto Caniato Game Spread +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Trungelliti and Carlo Alberto Caniato in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marco T...
This prediction market tracks whether Lisbon: Marco Trungelliti vs Carlo Alberto Caniato will occur, with $151K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Lisbon: Marco Trungelliti vs Carlo Alberto Caniato Set 1 O/U 8.5 is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $155K traded in the last 24 hours alone (103% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-28. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 21, 2026 at 19:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Lisbon: Marco Trungelliti vs Carlo Alberto Caniato Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100% probability, with $151K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $151K, with $155K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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