Croatia Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set Handicap +/-1.5 leads at 63%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Croatia Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 63% | +59% | $9K |
| 2 | Croatia Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 62% | +60% | $22 |
| 3 | Croatia Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 4 | Croatia Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 5 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Croatia Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Croatia Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | $9 |
| 8 | Croatia Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | $44 |
| 9 | Croatia Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Croatia Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Match O/U 21.5 | 48% | +106% | $7 |
| 11 | Croatia Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Match O/U 22.5 | 42% | +138% | - |
| 12 | Croatia Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Match O/U 23.5 | 39% | +156% | $2 |
| 13 | Croatia Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 Winner | 32% | +212% | - |
| 14 | Croatia Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 21% | +376% | $37K |
| 15 | Croatia Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 Winner | 18% | +471% | $1K |
| 16 | Croatia Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 9% | +1011% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Trungelliti and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the Croatia Open, originally scheduled for July 15, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to...
This prediction market tracks whether Croatia Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will occur, with $46K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Croatia Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set Handicap +/-1.5 at 63%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $46K traded in the last 24 hours alone (99% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-22. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 15, 2026 at 16:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Croatia Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set Handicap +/-1.5 at 63% probability, with $46K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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