Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Kei Nishikori Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads at 76%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Kei Nishikori Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 76% | +32% | - |
| 2 | Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Kei Nishikori Match O/U 21.5 | 56% | +80% | - |
| 3 | Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Kei Nishikori Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 53% | +89% | - |
| 4 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Kei Nishikori Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Kei Nishikori Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Kei Nishikori Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Kei Nishikori Match O/U 22.5 | 48% | +106% | - |
| 9 | Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Kei Nishikori Set 2 Winner | 48% | +111% | - |
| 10 | Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Kei Nishikori Set 1 Winner | 46% | +117% | $101 |
| 11 | Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Kei Nishikori | 46% | +120% | $16K |
| 12 | Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Kei Nishikori Match O/U 23.5 | 44% | +130% | - |
| 13 | Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Kei Nishikori Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 40% | +147% | $3 |
| 14 | Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Kei Nishikori Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 34% | +194% | $33 |
| 15 | Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Kei Nishikori Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 28% | +264% | - |
| 16 | Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Kei Nishikori Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 26% | +277% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Trungelliti and Kei Nishikori in the Cincinnati Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for August 12, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resol...
This prediction market tracks whether Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Kei Nishikori will occur, with $16K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Kei Nishikori Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 76%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $16K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-19. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 12, 2026 at 14:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Kei Nishikori Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 76% probability, with $16K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms