The market strongly favors Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Yoshihito Nishioka Set 1 Winner at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Yoshihito Nishioka Set 1 Winner | 100% | +0% | $400 |
| 2 | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Yoshihito Nishioka Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +0% | - |
| 3 | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Yoshihito Nishioka Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +0% | - |
| 4 | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Yoshihito Nishioka Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +0% | - |
| 5 | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Yoshihito Nishioka | 96% | +5% | $44K |
| 6 | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Yoshihito Nishioka Set 2 Winner | 84% | +18% | - |
| 7 | Completed Match | 62% | +63% | $2K |
| 8 | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Yoshihito Nishioka Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +100% | $10 |
| 9 | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Yoshihito Nishioka Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Yoshihito Nishioka Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Yoshihito Nishioka Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Yoshihito Nishioka Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +100% | $608 |
| 13 | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Yoshihito Nishioka Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | $2 |
| 14 | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Yoshihito Nishioka Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +100% | $138 |
| 15 | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Yoshihito Nishioka Game Spread +/-5.5 | 36% | +178% | $26 |
| 16 | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Yoshihito Nishioka Match O/U 21.5 BEST VALUE | 35% | +186% | $792 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Stefanos Tsitsipas and Yoshihito Nishioka in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 10:00PM E...
This prediction market tracks whether Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Yoshihito Nishioka will occur, with $48K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Yoshihito Nishioka Set 1 Winner is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $48K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-05. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 28, 2026 at 03:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Yoshihito Nishioka Set 1 Winner at 100% probability, with $48K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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