The market strongly favors Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Arthur Fils at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Arthur Fils | 100% | - | $398K |
| 2 | Completed Match | 100% | - | $630 |
| 3 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Arthur Fils Set 1 Winner | 100% | - | $2K |
| 4 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Arthur Fils Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | - | $779 |
| 5 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Arthur Fils Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 6 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Arthur Fils Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 7 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Arthur Fils Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | - | $760 |
| 8 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Arthur Fils Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 9 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Arthur Fils Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 10 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Arthur Fils Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | - | $2K |
| 11 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Arthur Fils Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | - | $198 |
| 12 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Arthur Fils Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | - | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Valentin Vacherot and Arthur Fils in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolv...
This prediction market tracks whether Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Arthur Fils will occur, with $407K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Arthur Fils is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $403K traded in the last 24 hours alone (99% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-11. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 04, 2026 at 23:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Arthur Fils at 100% probability, with $407K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $407K, with $403K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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