Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads at 77%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 77% | +30% | - |
| 2 | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel Match O/U 21.5 | 55% | +83% | $30 |
| 3 | Completed Match | 54% | +85% | - |
| 4 | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 8 | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel Game Spread +/-0.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 9 | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel | 48% | +111% | $11K |
| 10 | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel Set 1 Winner | 48% | +111% | $37 |
| 11 | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel Set 2 Winner | 47% | +113% | - |
| 12 | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel Match O/U 22.5 | 47% | +113% | $28 |
| 13 | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel Match O/U 23.5 | 45% | +122% | $221 |
| 14 | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 38% | +160% | - |
| 15 | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 32% | +217% | $167 |
| 16 | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel Set 1 O/U 10.5 BEST VALUE | 28% | +264% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Adolfo Vallejo and Taro Daniel in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This mar...
This prediction market tracks whether Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel will occur, with $11K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 77%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $11K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-05. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 28, 2026 at 03:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 77% probability, with $11K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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