The market strongly favors San Marino: Michael Vrbensky vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Marino: Michael Vrbensky vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | $668 |
| 2 | San Marino: Michael Vrbensky vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 Winner | 100% | +0% | - |
| 3 | San Marino: Michael Vrbensky vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +0% | - |
| 4 | San Marino: Michael Vrbensky vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 75% | +33% | - |
| 5 | San Marino: Michael Vrbensky vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Match O/U 21.5 | 75% | +33% | - |
| 6 | San Marino: Michael Vrbensky vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Match O/U 22.5 | 75% | +33% | - |
| 7 | San Marino: Michael Vrbensky vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Match O/U 23.5 | 75% | +33% | $250 |
| 8 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | San Marino: Michael Vrbensky vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | 30% | +239% | $28K |
| 10 | San Marino: Michael Vrbensky vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 25% | +300% | $100 |
| 11 | San Marino: Michael Vrbensky vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 24% | +308% | $45 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Michael Vrbensky and Nikoloz Basilashvili in the San Marino, originally scheduled for July 28, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michael V...
This prediction market tracks whether San Marino: Michael Vrbensky vs Nikoloz Basilashvili will occur, with $29K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: San Marino: Michael Vrbensky vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 8.5 is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $29K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-04. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 28, 2026 at 10:55 UTC, the leading outcome is San Marino: Michael Vrbensky vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100% probability, with $29K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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