The market strongly favors Mallorca Championships: Adam Walton vs Nick Kyrgios Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mallorca Championships: Adam Walton vs Nick Kyrgios Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | $24 |
| 2 | Mallorca Championships: Adam Walton vs Nick Kyrgios Set 1 Winner | 100% | - | $1K |
| 3 | Mallorca Championships: Adam Walton vs Nick Kyrgios Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 94% | +6% | $533 |
| 4 | Mallorca Championships: Adam Walton vs Nick Kyrgios | 73% | +37% | $510K |
| 5 | Mallorca Championships: Adam Walton vs Nick Kyrgios Match O/U 22.5 | 61% | +64% | $66 |
| 6 | Mallorca Championships: Adam Walton vs Nick Kyrgios Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | $7 |
| 7 | Mallorca Championships: Adam Walton vs Nick Kyrgios Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Mallorca Championships: Adam Walton vs Nick Kyrgios Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | +100% | $3 |
| 9 | Completed Match | 50% | +102% | - |
| 10 | Mallorca Championships: Adam Walton vs Nick Kyrgios Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 48% | +111% | $575 |
| 11 | Mallorca Championships: Adam Walton vs Nick Kyrgios Set 2 Winner | 37% | +170% | $254 |
| 12 | Mallorca Championships: Adam Walton vs Nick Kyrgios Match O/U 23.5 | 31% | +223% | $5 |
| 13 | Mallorca Championships: Adam Walton vs Nick Kyrgios Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 26% | +292% | $568 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Adam Walton and Nick Kyrgios in the Mallorca Championships, originally scheduled for June 22, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adam Walt...
This prediction market tracks whether Mallorca Championships: Adam Walton vs Nick Kyrgios will occur, with $402K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Mallorca Championships: Adam Walton vs Nick Kyrgios Set 1 O/U 8.5 is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $404K traded in the last 24 hours alone (101% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-29. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 22, 2026 at 16:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Mallorca Championships: Adam Walton vs Nick Kyrgios Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100% probability, with $402K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $402K, with $404K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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