Market is split — Phan Thiet 3: Arthur Weber vs Ilia Simakin Set 1 O/U 10.5 at 58%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Phan Thiet 3: Arthur Weber vs Ilia Simakin Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 58% | +71% | - |
| 2 | Phan Thiet 3: Arthur Weber vs Ilia Simakin Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 56% | +80% | - |
| 3 | Phan Thiet 3: Arthur Weber vs Ilia Simakin Game Spread +/-4.5 | 52% | +94% | - |
| 4 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | $646 |
| 5 | Phan Thiet 3: Arthur Weber vs Ilia Simakin Set 2 Winner | 50% | +102% | - |
| 6 | Phan Thiet 3: Arthur Weber vs Ilia Simakin Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 7 | Phan Thiet 3: Arthur Weber vs Ilia Simakin Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 8 | Phan Thiet 3: Arthur Weber vs Ilia Simakin Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 9 | Phan Thiet 3: Arthur Weber vs Ilia Simakin Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 10 | Phan Thiet 3: Arthur Weber vs Ilia Simakin Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 46% | +117% | - |
| 11 | Phan Thiet 3: Arthur Weber vs Ilia Simakin Match O/U 21.5 | 44% | +125% | - |
| 12 | Phan Thiet 3: Arthur Weber vs Ilia Simakin Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 36% | +182% | - |
| 13 | Phan Thiet 3: Arthur Weber vs Ilia Simakin Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 32% | +208% | - |
| 14 | Phan Thiet 3: Arthur Weber vs Ilia Simakin Set 1 Winner | 28% | +251% | - |
| 15 | Phan Thiet 3: Arthur Weber vs Ilia Simakin Match O/U 22.5 | 28% | +251% | - |
| 16 | Phan Thiet 3: Arthur Weber vs Ilia Simakin BEST VALUE | 20% | +388% | $38K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Weber and Ilia Simakin in the Phan Thiet 3, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Weber'...
This prediction market tracks whether Phan Thiet 3: Arthur Weber vs Ilia Simakin will occur, with $39K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market is closely contested, with Phan Thiet 3: Arthur Weber vs Ilia Simakin Set 1 O/U 10.5 leading at just 58%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $39K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-20. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 12, 2026 at 22:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Phan Thiet 3: Arthur Weber vs Ilia Simakin Set 1 O/U 10.5 at 58% probability, with $39K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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