US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-1.5 leads at 80%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 80% | +24% | $20 |
| 2 | US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 64% | +57% | - |
| 3 | US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Game Spread +/-6.5 | 60% | +65% | $6K |
| 4 | US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-2.5 | 54% | +87% | $652 |
| 5 | US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 53% | +89% | - |
| 6 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 3 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 4 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 3 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 3 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 4 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 4 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 4 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Total Sets: O/U 3.5 | 42% | +135% | $1K |
| 18 | US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Match O/U 36.5 | 38% | +167% | $5 |
| 19 | US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 26% | +285% | - |
| 20 | US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Match O/U 38.5 BEST VALUE | 24% | +317% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Yibing Wu and Carlos Alcaraz in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yibing Wu' if Yi...
This prediction market tracks whether US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz will occur, with $531K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-1.5 at 80%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $531K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-11. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 04, 2026 at 06:55 UTC, the leading outcome is US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-1.5 at 80% probability, with $531K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $531K, with $531K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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