China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads at 76%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 76% | +32% | $10 |
| 2 | Completed Match | 56% | +77% | $12K |
| 3 | China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 Winner | 56% | +79% | - |
| 4 | China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 52% | +90% | - |
| 5 | China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 21.5 | 52% | +92% | $135 |
| 6 | China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +102% | $769 |
| 10 | China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 22.5 | 45% | +122% | $20 |
| 11 | China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta Game Spread +/-4.5 | 40% | +150% | - |
| 12 | China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 23.5 | 38% | +167% | - |
| 13 | China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 36% | +178% | $8 |
| 14 | China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 Winner | 33% | +203% | $25 |
| 15 | China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta | 28% | +264% | $2K |
| 16 | China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 O/U 10.5 BEST VALUE | 27% | +270% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Yi Zhou and Pablo Carreno Busta in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to...
This prediction market tracks whether China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta will occur, with $15K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 76%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $15K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-05. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 28, 2026 at 05:55 UTC, the leading outcome is China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 76% probability, with $15K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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