This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
| # | Outcome | Probability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kylian Mbappé | 26% | $64K |
| 2 | Lamine Yamal | 26% | $34K |
| 3 | Harry Kane | 22% | $620K |
| 4 | Pedri | 4% | $179K |
| 5 | Vinícius Júnior | 4% | $426K |
| 6 | Erling Haaland | 3% | $225K |
| 7 | Jude Bellingham | 2% | $178K |
| 8 | Ousmane Dembélé | 2% | $181K |
| 9 | Cole Palmer | 1% | $14K |
| 10 | Mohamed Salah | 1% | $105K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
As of Mar 30, 2026 at 21:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Kylian Mbappé at 26% probability, with $2.0M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $2.0M, with $157K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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