BitBoy was recently arrested due to a warrant issued for threatening communications he sent to a Judge. You can read more about that here: https://www.binance.com/en/square/post/22059661159362 This market will resolve to "Yes" if BitBoy (Ben Armstrong) is convicted of any charges related to the emails he sent to Judge Kimberly Childs, by March 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Convictions must be for criminal charges. If the case is completely dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation occurs in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No". Once an individual is convicted it qualifies for an immediate "Yes" resolution, regardless of later appeals, etc. This market will resolve based on the first conviction in a qualifying case. The primary resolution source will be official court records, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
| # | Outcome | Probability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BitBoy convicted? | 10% | $325K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
As of Mar 30, 2026 at 21:40 UTC, the leading outcome is BitBoy convicted? at 10% probability, with $325K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $325K, with $41K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
Market Insights · Election Odds · Biggest Movers · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms · Alternatives · What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade