This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
| # | Outcome | Probability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 12PM ET | 100% | $161K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
As of Mar 31, 2026 at 18:30 UTC, the leading outcome is Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 12PM ET at 100% probability, with $161K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $161K, with $161K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
Market Insights · Election Odds · Biggest Movers · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms · Alternatives · What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade