Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2?

Ends Aug 02, 2026 · Volume: $225K · 24h: $16K · Updated Aug 03, 2026 at 16:15 UTC
PredScope Signal: Strong Consensus

The market strongly favors Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2? at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.

⚡ Active 24h volume is 7.0% of total — above-average activity
# Outcome Probability If Right Volume
1 Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2? 100% - $225K
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This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 1 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 2 '26 12:...

Market Analysis

This prediction market tracks whether Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2? will occur, with $225K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by cryptocurrency market dynamics, regulatory developments, and on-chain sentiment.

The market shows strong consensus: Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2? is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.

Recent trading volume of $16K in 24 hours shows healthy market activity. Active markets tend to produce more accurate probability estimates, as continuous trading ensures prices quickly incorporate new information.

This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-02. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.

Total Volume
$225K
Liquidity
$0

FAQ

What are the current odds for Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2??

As of Aug 03, 2026 at 16:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2? at 100% probability, with $225K in total trading volume on Polymarket.

How much money is bet on Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2??

The total trading volume for this market is $225K, with $16K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.

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