This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 30 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Mar 31 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 30 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Mar 31 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
| # | Outcome | Probability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 31? | 30% | $41K |
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As of Mar 30, 2026 at 22:00 UTC, the leading outcome is Bitcoin Up or Down on March 31? at 30% probability, with $41K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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