The market strongly favors 1Q Spread -1.5 at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% | +1% | - |
| 2 | Spread -0.5 | 83% | +20% | - |
| 3 | 2Q Spread -3.5 | 82% | +21% | - |
| 4 | O/U 35.5 | 80% | +25% | $178 |
| 5 | Northwestern vs. Michigan State | 74% | +36% | $22K |
| 6 | Spread -1.5 | 73% | +37% | $5 |
| 7 | O/U 37.5 | 71% | +41% | - |
| 8 | Northwestern O/U 20.5 | 70% | +42% | - |
| 9 | Spread -2.5 | 70% | +43% | $54 |
| 10 | O/U 39.5 | 68% | +47% | - |
| 11 | Spread -3.5 | 60% | +67% | $77 |
| 12 | Spread -4.5 | 57% | +75% | $703 |
| 13 | Spread -0.5 | 57% | +75% | - |
| 14 | O/U 41.5 | 56% | +79% | - |
| 15 | 4Q O/U 10.5 | 56% | +79% | - |
| 16 | Spread -5.5 | 55% | +82% | - |
| 17 | O/U 43.5 | 54% | +87% | - |
| 18 | 3Q Spread -2.5 | 54% | +87% | - |
| 19 | 1Q O/U 7.5 | 53% | +90% | - |
| 20 | Northwestern Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 BEST VALUE | 51% | +96% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
In the upcoming college football game between Northwestern and Michigan State, scheduled for October 17 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Northwestern" if Northwestern win the game. This mar...
This prediction market tracks whether Northwestern vs. Michigan State will occur, with $322K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: 1Q Spread -1.5 is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $315K traded in the last 24 hours alone (98% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-17. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 17, 2026 at 17:25 UTC, the leading outcome is 1Q Spread -1.5 at 100% probability, with $322K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $322K, with $315K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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