The market strongly favors Toledo vs. Ball State at 92%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toledo vs. Ball State | 92% | +9% | $2K |
| 2 | Spread -2.5 | 92% | +9% | - |
| 3 | Spread -1.5 | 90% | +10% | - |
| 4 | Spread -3.5 | 89% | +12% | - |
| 5 | Spread -6.5 | 88% | +14% | $205 |
| 6 | Spread -4.5 | 88% | +14% | - |
| 7 | O/U 37.5 | 86% | +16% | - |
| 8 | Spread -5.5 | 86% | +17% | - |
| 9 | Spread -9.5 | 84% | +19% | $55 |
| 10 | Spread -10.5 | 80% | +26% | - |
| 11 | Spread -7.5 | 80% | +26% | $684 |
| 12 | Spread -11.5 | 78% | +27% | $140 |
| 13 | O/U 43.5 | 74% | +35% | $196 |
| 14 | 1H Spread -10.5 | 72% | +39% | $720 |
| 15 | Spread -13.5 | 70% | +44% | $127 |
| 16 | 1H Spread -6.5 | 68% | +48% | - |
| 17 | Spread -14.5 | 64% | +55% | - |
| 18 | Spread -16.5 | 61% | +64% | - |
| 19 | O/U 49.5 | 58% | +71% | $49 |
| 20 | 1H Spread -9.5 BEST VALUE | 57% | +74% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
In the upcoming college football game between Toledo and Ball State, scheduled for October 3 at 2:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Toledo" if Toledo win the game. This market will resolve to "Bal...
This prediction market tracks whether Toledo vs. Ball State will occur, with $176K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Toledo vs. Ball State is priced at 92%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $174K traded in the last 24 hours alone (99% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-03. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 03, 2026 at 18:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Toledo vs. Ball State at 92% probability, with $176K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $176K, with $174K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms