The market strongly favors O/U 39.5 at 91%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 39.5 | 91% | +10% | - |
| 2 | O/U 37.5 | 90% | +12% | - |
| 3 | O/U 35.5 | 89% | +12% | - |
| 4 | O/U 41.5 | 88% | +14% | - |
| 5 | O/U 43.5 | 86% | +16% | - |
| 6 | O/U 45.5 | 80% | +24% | - |
| 7 | O/U 47.5 | 80% | +24% | - |
| 8 | O/U 49.5 | 78% | +28% | - |
| 9 | Spread -0.5 | 72% | +39% | - |
| 10 | Texas State vs. San Diego State | 70% | +42% | $6K |
| 11 | Spread -1.5 | 70% | +44% | - |
| 12 | O/U 51.5 | 70% | +44% | - |
| 13 | Spread -2.5 | 68% | +48% | $12 |
| 14 | Spread -3.5 | 63% | +59% | $3K |
| 15 | Spread -4.5 | 59% | +69% | $52 |
| 16 | O/U 55.5 | 59% | +69% | - |
| 17 | 1H Spread -0.5 | 59% | +69% | - |
| 18 | O/U 53.5 | 57% | +74% | - |
| 19 | Spread -5.5 | 56% | +77% | $4K |
| 20 | O/U 57.5 BEST VALUE | 56% | +80% | $39 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
In the upcoming college football game between Texas State and San Diego State, scheduled for October 3 at 10:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Texas State" if Texas State win the game. This market...
This prediction market tracks whether Texas State vs. San Diego State will occur, with $18K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: O/U 39.5 is priced at 91%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $12K traded in the last 24 hours alone (67% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-04. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 01, 2026 at 05:05 UTC, the leading outcome is O/U 39.5 at 91% probability, with $18K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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