No clear favorite. Brigid Kosgei leads at just 39%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brigid Kosgei | 39% | +156% | $4K |
| 2 | Hawi Feysa | 18% | +471% | $9K |
| 3 | Sharon Lokedi | 18% | +471% | $419 |
| 4 | Sutume Kebede | 8% | +1076% | $10K |
| 5 | Megertu Alemu BEST VALUE | 6% | +1718% | $2K |
| 6 | Other | 4% | +2432% | $170 |
| 7 | Sara Hall | 3% | +3746% | $180 |
| 8 | Brillian Kipkoech | 2% | +3982% | $102 |
| 9 | Fantu Worku | 2% | +4155% | $162 |
| 10 | Joan Kilimo | 2% | +6352% | $162 |
| 11 | Ariel Brodey | 1% | +11011% | $57 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the listed athlete who wins the 2026 Women’s Chicago Marathon. If this athlete is eliminated from contention for winning this event based on the official rules o...
This prediction market tracks whether Chicago Marathon Women's Winner will occur, with $26K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
No clear favorite has emerged — Brigid Kosgei leads at only 39% across 11 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $25K traded in the last 24 hours alone (96% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-11. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 11, 2026 at 00:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Brigid Kosgei at 39% probability, with $26K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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