Market is split — Costa Rica at 40%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Costa Rica | 40% | +147% | $5K |
| 2 | Haiti | 38% | +167% | $109K |
| 3 | Draw (Costa Rica vs. Haiti) BEST VALUE | 22% | +365% | $440 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This event is for the upcoming Concacaf Nations League game, scheduled for Sunday, October 4, 2026 between Costa Rica and Haiti.
This prediction market tracks whether Costa Rica vs. Haiti will occur, with $114K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market is closely contested, with Costa Rica leading at just 40%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $111K traded in the last 24 hours alone (97% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-05. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 04, 2026 at 23:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Costa Rica at 40% probability, with $114K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $114K, with $111K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms