No clear favorite. 2.5% leads at just 28%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2.5% | 28% | +257% | $5K |
| 2 | 2.4% | 24% | +326% | $20K |
| 3 | 2.6% | 15% | +547% | $4K |
| 4 | 2.7% | 13% | +697% | $7K |
| 5 | 2.9% | 8% | +1076% | $585 |
| 6 | ≤2.2% | 6% | +1670% | $3K |
| 7 | ≥3.1% BEST VALUE | 5% | +1769% | $501 |
| 8 | 3.0% | 5% | +2005% | $411 |
| 9 | 2.8% | 4% | +2147% | $499 |
| 10 | 2.3% | 4% | +2400% | $426 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market wil...
This prediction market tracks whether Core CPI YoY - July 2026 will occur, with $38K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by macroeconomic indicators, central bank signals, and market expectations.
No clear favorite has emerged — 2.5% leads at only 28% across 10 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $15K traded in the last 24 hours alone (38% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-12. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 02, 2026 at 19:45 UTC, the leading outcome is 2.5% at 28% probability, with $38K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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