Market is split — Map 1 Winner at 52%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Map 1 Winner | 52% | +90% | $111 |
| 2 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 5 | O/U 2.5 Games | 47% | +113% | $70 |
| 6 | Match Winner | 46% | +120% | $17K |
| 7 | Map 2 Winner | 42% | +138% | $23 |
| 8 | Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5) BEST VALUE | 30% | +233% | $315 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between 100 Thieves and Astralis in the Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. This market...
This prediction market tracks whether Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs will occur, with $18K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market is closely contested, with Map 1 Winner leading at just 52%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $18K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-26. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 26, 2026 at 05:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Map 1 Winner at 52% probability, with $18K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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