The market strongly favors Map 2 Winner at 94%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Map 2 Winner | 94% | +6% | $10K |
| 2 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 90% | +11% | - |
| 3 | Match Winner | 72% | +40% | $13K |
| 4 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5) | 55% | +82% | - |
| 5 | O/U 2.5 Games | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs Eternal Fire (+3.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs Eternal Fire (+3.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-6.5) vs Eternal Fire (+6.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs Eternal Fire (+3.5) | 45% | +122% | - |
| 14 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-6.5) vs 100 Thieves (+6.5) | 45% | +122% | - |
| 15 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-6.5) vs Eternal Fire (+6.5) BEST VALUE | 10% | +900% | - |
| 16 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 10% | +900% | $5 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 1 match between 100 Thieves and Eternal Fire in the IEM Beijing: Global Open Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 1:24 P...
This prediction market tracks whether Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Open Qualifier Playoffs will occur, with $29K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Map 2 Winner is priced at 94%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $31K traded in the last 24 hours alone (107% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-24. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 24, 2026 at 18:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Map 2 Winner at 94% probability, with $29K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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