The market strongly favors Match Winner at 92%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 92% | +8% | $37K |
| 2 | Map 2 Winner | 88% | +14% | $915 |
| 3 | Map 1 Winner | 86% | +17% | $4K |
| 4 | Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs 5star (+1.5) | 74% | +36% | $51K |
| 5 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 68% | +48% | - |
| 6 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs 5star (+3.5) | 66% | +50% | $250 |
| 7 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 8 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-6.5) vs 5star (+6.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 49% | +104% | - |
| 10 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-6.5) vs 5star (+6.5) | 40% | +147% | - |
| 11 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-6.5) vs 5star (+6.5) | 40% | +153% | - |
| 12 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 38% | +167% | - |
| 13 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 37% | +170% | - |
| 14 | O/U 2.5 Games BEST VALUE | 22% | +344% | $8K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between 9z and 5star in the FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A, initially scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET. This mark...
This prediction market tracks whether Counter-Strike: 9z vs 5star (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A will occur, with $101K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Match Winner is priced at 92%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $100K traded in the last 24 hours alone (99% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-08. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 07, 2026 at 17:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 92% probability, with $101K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $101K, with $100K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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