The market strongly favors Map 1 Winner at 92%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Map 1 Winner | 92% | +9% | $51K |
| 2 | Match Winner | 64% | +55% | $158K |
| 3 | O/U 2.5 Games | 50% | +100% | $61 |
| 4 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: magic (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +100% | $46 |
| 6 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: magic (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: magic (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: magic (-6.5) vs Alliance (+6.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Map Handicap: ALL (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Alliance (-3.5) vs magic (+3.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Alliance (-6.5) vs magic (+6.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Alliance (-9.5) vs magic (+9.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | Map 2 Winner BEST VALUE | 48% | +106% | $4K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket final match between Alliance and magic in the FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B, initially scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market...
This prediction market tracks whether Counter-Strike: Alliance vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B will occur, with $235K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Map 1 Winner is priced at 92%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $235K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-10. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 10, 2026 at 13:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Map 1 Winner at 92% probability, with $235K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $235K, with $235K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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