Market is split — Match Winner at 60%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 60% | +68% | $15K |
| 2 | Map 2 Winner | 57% | +74% | $6 |
| 3 | Map 1 Winner | 52% | +90% | $6 |
| 4 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Alliance (-3.5) vs Sinners (+3.5) | 51% | +96% | $10 |
| 5 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 51% | +96% | - |
| 6 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Alliance (-3.5) vs Sinners (+3.5) | 50% | +102% | - |
| 7 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 48% | +106% | - |
| 8 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 48% | +108% | - |
| 9 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Alliance (-3.5) vs Sinners (+3.5) | 44% | +127% | $67 |
| 10 | O/U 2.5 Games | 42% | +141% | $36 |
| 11 | Map Handicap: ALL (-1.5) vs Sinners (+1.5) BEST VALUE | 32% | +217% | $629 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 1 match between Alliance and Sinners in the 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET....
This prediction market tracks whether Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sinners (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs will occur, with $16K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market is closely contested, with Match Winner leading at just 60%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $15K traded in the last 24 hours alone (96% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-25. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 24, 2026 at 21:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 60% probability, with $16K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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