Market is split — Match Winner at 57%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 57% | +74% | $7K |
| 2 | Map 1 Winner | 56% | +77% | $741 |
| 3 | Map 2 Winner | 56% | +80% | $20 |
| 4 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 6 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 7 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5) | 49% | +104% | - |
| 8 | O/U 2.5 Games | 46% | +115% | - |
| 9 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5) | 38% | +167% | - |
| 10 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5) | 36% | +174% | - |
| 11 | Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5) BEST VALUE | 32% | +217% | $18K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower Bracket Quarterfinal 1 match between Astralis and BIG in the Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. Thi...
This prediction market tracks whether Counter-Strike: Astralis vs BIG (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs will occur, with $26K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market is closely contested, with Match Winner leading at just 57%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $26K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-03. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 03, 2026 at 04:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 57% probability, with $26K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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