Market is split — Map 2 Winner at 54%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Map 2 Winner | 54% | +87% | $3K |
| 2 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +98% | $551 |
| 3 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 4 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Match Winner | 50% | +102% | $55K |
| 6 | Map 1 Winner | 46% | +115% | $8K |
| 7 | O/U 2.5 Games | 46% | +115% | $4K |
| 8 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5) | 40% | +150% | - |
| 9 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5) | 36% | +182% | $2K |
| 10 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5) | 32% | +208% | $815 |
| 11 | Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BEST VALUE | 24% | +308% | $10K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Aurora Gaming and 9z in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 3, initially scheduled for June 14 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Auror...
This prediction market tracks whether Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 will occur, with $75K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market is closely contested, with Map 2 Winner leading at just 54%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $75K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-14. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 14, 2026 at 03:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Map 2 Winner at 54% probability, with $75K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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