Match Winner leads at 70%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 70% | +42% | $1K |
| 2 | Map 2 Winner | 66% | +53% | - |
| 3 | Map 1 Winner | 60% | +65% | - |
| 4 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 7 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 48% | +108% | - |
| 8 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5) | 46% | +115% | - |
| 9 | O/U 2.5 Games | 44% | +127% | $59 |
| 10 | Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) BEST VALUE | 40% | +147% | $15K |
| 11 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5) | 40% | +147% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between Aurora Gaming and 9z in the ESL Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET. This market will resolve...
This prediction market tracks whether Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage will occur, with $16K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Match Winner at 70%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $16K traded in the last 24 hours alone (98% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-03. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 03, 2026 at 00:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 70% probability, with $16K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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