Match Winner leads at 72%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 72% | +38% | $29K |
| 2 | Map 2 Winner | 72% | +40% | $38 |
| 3 | Map 1 Winner | 66% | +52% | $814 |
| 4 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5) | 50% | +98% | - |
| 5 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 7 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 48% | +106% | - |
| 8 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 46% | +120% | - |
| 9 | Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5) | 44% | +125% | $19K |
| 10 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5) | 44% | +125% | - |
| 11 | O/U 2.5 Games BEST VALUE | 42% | +141% | $70 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Aurora Gaming and M80 in the Esports World Cup Group A, initially scheduled for August 13 at 10:00AM ET. This marke...
This prediction market tracks whether Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A will occur, with $49K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Match Winner at 72%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $49K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-13. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 12, 2026 at 22:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 72% probability, with $49K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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