Market is split — Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5) at 58%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5) | 58% | +71% | $7 |
| 2 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 3 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 4 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 48% | +108% | - |
| 5 | O/U 2.5 Games | 46% | +120% | $5 |
| 6 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5) | 46% | +120% | - |
| 7 | Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) | 42% | +141% | $25K |
| 8 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5) | 40% | +147% | - |
| 9 | Map 2 Winner | 38% | +160% | $50 |
| 10 | Map 1 Winner | 34% | +199% | $29 |
| 11 | Match Winner BEST VALUE | 30% | +228% | $9K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Counter-Strike 3rd Place match between Aurora Gaming and Spirit in the ESL Pro League Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET. This market will reso...
This prediction market tracks whether Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs will occur, with $33K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market is closely contested, with Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5) leading at just 58%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $34K traded in the last 24 hours alone (101% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-11. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 11, 2026 at 02:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5) at 58% probability, with $33K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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