Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5) leads at 61%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5) | 61% | +64% | - |
| 2 | Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5) | 57% | +74% | $10K |
| 3 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5) | 51% | +96% | - |
| 4 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 46% | +120% | - |
| 6 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 46% | +120% | - |
| 7 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 41% | +144% | - |
| 8 | O/U 2.5 Games | 36% | +182% | $3K |
| 9 | Map 1 Winner | 28% | +264% | $754 |
| 10 | Map 2 Winner | 20% | +388% | $2K |
| 11 | Match Winner BEST VALUE | 16% | +545% | $21K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket semifinal 1 match between BIG and Spirit in the Esports World Cup Group A, initially scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. This market wi...
This prediction market tracks whether Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A will occur, with $36K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5) at 61%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $36K traded in the last 24 hours alone (99% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-15. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 15, 2026 at 06:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5) at 61% probability, with $36K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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