The market strongly favors Map 1 Winner at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
High Volume — $3.3M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Map 1 Winner | 100% | - | $472K |
| 2 | O/U 2.5 Games | 100% | - | $27K |
| 3 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% | - | $2K |
| 4 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% | - | $2K |
| 5 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5) | 100% | - | $2K |
| 6 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-3.5) vs Spirit (+3.5) | 100% | - | $5 |
| 7 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% | - | $98 |
| 8 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 9 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% | - | $5 |
| 10 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% | - | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket semifinal 1 match between BIG and Spirit in the Esports World Cup Group A, initially scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. This market wi...
This prediction market tracks whether Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A will occur, with $3.3M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Map 1 Winner is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
The market has seen $48K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-16. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 16, 2026 at 21:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Map 1 Winner at 100% probability, with $3.3M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $3.3M, with $48K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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