The market strongly favors Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-3.5) vs Black Phoenix (+3.5) at 90%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-3.5) vs Black Phoenix (+3.5) | 90% | +11% | - |
| 2 | Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs Black Phoenix (+1.5) | 50% | +100% | $5K |
| 3 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 5 | Map 2 Winner | 44% | +127% | $61 |
| 6 | O/U 2.5 Games | 36% | +178% | - |
| 7 | Match Winner | 19% | +426% | $20K |
| 8 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Black Phoenix (-6.5) vs SPARTA (+6.5) BEST VALUE | 10% | +900% | - |
| 9 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-6.5) vs Black Phoenix (+6.5) | 10% | +900% | - |
| 10 | Map Handicap: Black Phoenix (-1.5) vs SPARTA (+1.5) | 1% | +18082% | $10 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 5 match between Black Phoenix and SPARTA in the Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET....
This prediction market tracks whether Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs SPARTA (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stage will occur, with $25K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-3.5) vs Black Phoenix (+3.5) is priced at 90%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $25K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-30. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 30, 2026 at 13:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-3.5) vs Black Phoenix (+3.5) at 90% probability, with $25K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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