The market strongly favors Map Handicap: ex-ZT (-1.5) vs Black Phoenix (+1.5) at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Map Handicap: ex-ZT (-1.5) vs Black Phoenix (+1.5) | 100% | +0% | - |
| 2 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 90% | +11% | $5 |
| 3 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ex-Zero Tenacity (-3.5) vs Black Phoenix (+3.5) | 90% | +11% | - |
| 4 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BEST VALUE | 10% | +900% | $105 |
| 6 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 10% | +900% | - |
| 7 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 10% | +900% | - |
| 8 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ex-Zero Tenacity (-3.5) vs Black Phoenix (+3.5) | 10% | +900% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Black Phoenix and ex-Zero Tenacity in the Exort Fiesta Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This market w...
This prediction market tracks whether Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage will occur, with $23K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Map Handicap: ex-ZT (-1.5) vs Black Phoenix (+1.5) is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $23K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-25. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 25, 2026 at 13:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Map Handicap: ex-ZT (-1.5) vs Black Phoenix (+1.5) at 100% probability, with $23K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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