Map 2 Winner leads at 62%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Map 2 Winner | 62% | +61% | $5 |
| 2 | Match Winner | 60% | +68% | $70K |
| 3 | Map 1 Winner | 55% | +82% | $8 |
| 4 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 51% | +96% | - |
| 5 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 7 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 8 | O/U 2.5 Games | 46% | +115% | - |
| 9 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5) | 42% | +141% | - |
| 10 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5) | 36% | +182% | - |
| 11 | Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BEST VALUE | 32% | +208% | $6K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between Team Falcons and Aurora Gaming in the ESL Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET. This market wil...
This prediction market tracks whether Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage will occur, with $77K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Map 2 Winner at 62%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $77K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-04. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 04, 2026 at 02:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Map 2 Winner at 62% probability, with $77K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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