The market strongly favors Map 1 Winner at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Map 1 Winner | 100% | +0% | $2K |
| 2 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-3.5) vs Keyd (+3.5) | 90% | +11% | - |
| 3 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-6.5) vs Keyd (+6.5) | 90% | +11% | - |
| 4 | Match Winner | 78% | +28% | $22K |
| 5 | Map 2 Winner | 52% | +94% | $7K |
| 6 | O/U 2.5 Games | 50% | +100% | $62 |
| 7 | Map Handicap: FXW7 (-1.5) vs Keyd (+1.5) | 50% | +100% | $420 |
| 8 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-3.5) vs Keyd (+3.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BEST VALUE | 10% | +900% | - |
| 13 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Keyd (-6.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+6.5) | 10% | +900% | - |
| 14 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 10% | +900% | - |
| 15 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Keyd (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5) | 10% | +900% | - |
| 16 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-9.5) vs Keyd (+9.5) | 10% | +900% | - |
| 17 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 10% | +900% | - |
| 18 | Map Handicap: Keyd (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5) | 1% | +18082% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Fluxo W7M and Keyd in the ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 26, 20...
This prediction market tracks whether Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Keyd (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 Playoffs will occur, with $25K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Map 1 Winner is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $25K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-27. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 26, 2026 at 22:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Map 1 Winner at 100% probability, with $25K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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