The market strongly favors Match Winner at 90%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 90% | +12% | $59K |
| 2 | Map 2 Winner | 86% | +16% | $878 |
| 3 | Map 1 Winner | 78% | +27% | $10K |
| 4 | Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs 5star (+1.5) | 70% | +44% | $47K |
| 5 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs 5star (+3.5) | 63% | +59% | $5K |
| 6 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-6.5) vs 5star (+6.5) | 51% | +96% | - |
| 7 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs 5star (+3.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 41% | +144% | - |
| 10 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-6.5) vs 5star (+6.5) | 31% | +223% | - |
| 11 | O/U 2.5 Games | 29% | +245% | $138 |
| 12 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 28% | +257% | - |
| 13 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BEST VALUE | 24% | +326% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket final match between G2 and 5star in the FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A, initially scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will r...
This prediction market tracks whether Counter-Strike: G2 vs 5star (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A will occur, with $121K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Match Winner is priced at 90%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $122K traded in the last 24 hours alone (101% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-10. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 10, 2026 at 13:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 90% probability, with $121K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $121K, with $122K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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