The market strongly favors Map 1 Winner at 98%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Map 1 Winner | 98% | +2% | $24K |
| 2 | Match Winner | 68% | +48% | $170K |
| 3 | O/U 2.5 Games | 56% | +77% | - |
| 4 | Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Map Handicap: HOTU (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs HOTU (+3.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: HOTU (-6.5) vs Astralis (+6.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: HOTU (-9.5) vs Astralis (+9.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: HOTU (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5) | 50% | +102% | - |
| 14 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 48% | +106% | $129 |
| 15 | Map 2 Winner BEST VALUE | 42% | +135% | $957 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Winners' match between HOTU and Astralis in the Stake Pulse Beat III Group C, initially scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET. This market will resolve...
This prediction market tracks whether Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Group C will occur, with $194K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Map 1 Winner is priced at 98%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $217K traded in the last 24 hours alone (111% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-14. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 14, 2026 at 13:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Map 1 Winner at 98% probability, with $194K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $194K, with $217K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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