Match Winner leads at 72%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 72% | +39% | $18K |
| 2 | Map 2 Winner | 70% | +42% | $5K |
| 3 | Map 1 Winner | 68% | +47% | $28K |
| 4 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Keyd (-3.5) vs MIBR Academy (+3.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Keyd (-3.5) vs MIBR Academy (+3.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Keyd (-3.5) vs MIBR Academy (+3.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Keyd (-9.5) vs MIBR Academy (+9.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Map Handicap: Keyd (-1.5) vs MIBR Academy (+1.5) | 49% | +104% | $11K |
| 13 | O/U 2.5 Games BEST VALUE | 30% | +239% | $1K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Keyd and MIBR Academy in the Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Group B, initially scheduled for July 8 at 6:00PM ET. This...
This prediction market tracks whether Counter-Strike: Keyd vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Group B will occur, with $60K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Match Winner at 72%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $59K traded in the last 24 hours alone (99% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-09. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 08, 2026 at 23:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 72% probability, with $60K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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