The market strongly favors Map 1 Winner at 92%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Map 1 Winner | 92% | +9% | $1K |
| 2 | Match Winner | 84% | +19% | $30K |
| 3 | O/U 2.5 Games | 52% | +90% | $105 |
| 4 | Map 2 Winner | 52% | +92% | $56 |
| 5 | Map Handicap: MARS (-1.5) vs Chicken Coop Esports (+1.5) BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +100% | $5 |
| 7 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +100% | $5 |
| 8 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +100% | $5 |
| 9 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Marsborne (-3.5) vs Chicken Coop Esports (+3.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Marsborne and Chicken Coop Esports in the ESL Challenger League North America Cup #1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for...
This prediction market tracks whether Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Chicken Coop Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #1 Playoffs will occur, with $31K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Map 1 Winner is priced at 92%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $31K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-29. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 29, 2026 at 01:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Map 1 Winner at 92% probability, with $31K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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