The market strongly favors Map 1 Winner at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Map 1 Winner | 100% | - | $30K |
| 2 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+3.5) | 100% | - | - |
| 3 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-6.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+6.5) | 100% | - | - |
| 4 | Match Winner | 70% | +44% | $96K |
| 5 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 6 | O/U 2.5 Games | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+3.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-6.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+6.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+1.5) | 48% | +106% | $918 |
| 12 | Map 2 Winner BEST VALUE | 36% | +174% | $44K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Decider match between MIBR and BC.Game Esports in the Stake Pulse Beat III Group D, initially scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 12:35 PM ET. This market will...
This prediction market tracks whether Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Group D will occur, with $171K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Map 1 Winner is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $203K traded in the last 24 hours alone (118% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-15. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 15, 2026 at 18:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Map 1 Winner at 100% probability, with $171K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $171K, with $203K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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