Map 1 Winner leads at 82%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Map 1 Winner | 82% | +21% | $13K |
| 2 | Match Winner | 67% | +49% | $34K |
| 3 | Map 2 Winner | 53% | +89% | $673 |
| 4 | O/U 2.5 Games BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | $30 |
| 5 | Map Handicap: NEM (-1.5) vs 1WIN (+1.5) | 50% | +100% | $440 |
| 6 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Map Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5) | 50% | +100% | $100 |
| 10 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 1WIN (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 1WIN (-6.5) vs Team Nemesis (+6.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-3.5) vs 1WIN (+3.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-6.5) vs 1WIN (+6.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-9.5) vs 1WIN (+9.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between Team Nemesis and 1WIN in the Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. T...
This prediction market tracks whether Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs 1WIN (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stage will occur, with $48K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Map 1 Winner at 82%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $48K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-27. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 26, 2026 at 19:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Map 1 Winner at 82% probability, with $48K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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