The market strongly favors Map 1 Winner at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Map 1 Winner | 100% | - | $53K |
| 2 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% | - | $178 |
| 3 | O/U 2.5 Games | 100% | +0% | $481 |
| 4 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nuclear TigeRES (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5) | 92% | +9% | - |
| 5 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nuclear TigeRES (-6.5) vs Team Nemesis (+6.5) | 92% | +9% | - |
| 6 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nuclear TigeRES (-9.5) vs Team Nemesis (+9.5) | 90% | +10% | - |
| 7 | Match Winner | 80% | +24% | $38K |
| 8 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-3.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+3.5) | 65% | +54% | - |
| 9 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-6.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+6.5) | 47% | +113% | - |
| 11 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 38% | +167% | - |
| 12 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 10% | +953% | - |
| 13 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 | 10% | +953% | - |
| 14 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nuclear TigeRES (-12.5) vs Team Nemesis (+12.5) | 10% | +953% | - |
| 15 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 9% | +970% | $48 |
| 16 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 BEST VALUE | 8% | +1150% | - |
| 17 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-6.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+6.5) | 8% | +1150% | - |
| 18 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-3.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+3.5) | 8% | +1150% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket semifinal match between Team Nemesis and Nuclear TigeRES in the PGL Bucharest Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 19, 2026...
This prediction market tracks whether Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Closed Qualifier Playoffs will occur, with $123K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Map 1 Winner is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $126K traded in the last 24 hours alone (102% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-19. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 19, 2026 at 16:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Map 1 Winner at 100% probability, with $123K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $123K, with $126K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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