Map 2 Winner leads at 60%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Map 2 Winner | 60% | +65% | - |
| 2 | Match Winner | 60% | +68% | $27K |
| 3 | Map 1 Winner | 52% | +92% | $409 |
| 4 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 5 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 7 | O/U 2.5 Games | 46% | +115% | $906 |
| 8 | Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5) BEST VALUE | 32% | +208% | $4K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower Bracket Round 1 match between paiN and 3DMAX in the Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 16 at 8:30AM ET. This market will reso...
This prediction market tracks whether Counter-Strike: paiN vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs will occur, with $33K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Map 2 Winner at 60%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $33K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-16. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 16, 2026 at 10:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Map 2 Winner at 60% probability, with $33K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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