Map 1 Winner leads at 80%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Map 1 Winner | 80% | +25% | $2K |
| 2 | Match Winner | 70% | +43% | $17K |
| 3 | Map 2 Winner | 60% | +68% | $161 |
| 4 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 51% | +96% | - |
| 5 | O/U 2.5 Games | 50% | +98% | $76 |
| 6 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-3.5) vs The Last Resort (+3.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-6.5) vs The Last Resort (+6.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Map Handicap: QUA (-1.5) vs The Last Resort (+1.5) | 50% | +102% | - |
| 10 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BEST VALUE | 48% | +108% | - |
| 11 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 48% | +108% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between QUAZAR and The Last Resort in the ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group B, initially scheduled for July 12 at 9:00AM ET. This market will re...
This prediction market tracks whether Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs The Last Resort (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group B will occur, with $19K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Map 1 Winner at 80%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $19K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-12. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 12, 2026 at 13:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Map 1 Winner at 80% probability, with $19K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms